How to tell if you are defending the truth or are just obsessed with a false idea

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Ensemble Learning and Random forest

Ensemble learning is the process by which multiple models, such as classifiers or experts, are strategically generated and combined to solve a particular computational intelligence problem. Ensemble learning is primarily used to improve the (classification, prediction, function approximation, etc.) performance of a model, or reduce the likelihood of an unfortunate selection of a poor one. Other applications of ensemble learning include assigning a confidence to the decision made by the model, selecting optimal (or near optimal) features, data fusion, incremental learning, non-stationary learning and error-correcting.

1. Bagging : Bagging tries to implement similar learners on small sample populations and then takes a mean of all the predictions. In generalized bagging, you can use different learners on different population. As you can expect this helps us to reduce the variance error.

2. Boosting : Boosting is an iterative technique which adjust the weight of an observation based on the last classification. If an observation was classified incorrectly, it tries to increase the weight of this observation and vice versa. Boosting in general decreases the bias error and builds strong predictive models. However, they may sometimes over fit on the training data.

Random forest

Random Forest is a flexible, easy to use machine learning algorithm that produces, even without hyper-parameter tuning, a great result most of the time. It is also one of the most used algorithms, because it’s simplicity and the fact that it can be used for both classification and regression tasks.

Random Forest is an ensemble machine learning algorithm that follows the bagging technique. It is an extension of the bagging estimator algorithm. The base estimators in random forest are decision trees. Unlike bagging meta estimator, random forest randomly selects a set of features which are used to decide the best split at each node of the decision tree.

Random Forest adds randomness to model while forming decision trees. Instead of searching for the most important feature, it searches for best feature from a random subset of features. It results in diversification which makes our model better. We can make our model more random by using some threshold for each feature rather than searching for the best threshold.

Random Forests are hard to beat in terms of performance. Of course you can probably always find a model that can perform better, like a neural network, but these usually take much more time in the development. And on top of that, they can handle a lot of different feature types, like binary, categorical and numerical.

Overall, Random Forest is a (mostly) fast, simple and flexible tool, although it has its limitations like a large number of trees can make the algorithm too slow and ineffective for real-time predictions.

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